The 2025 election has a trap set up by the Republicans

The 2025 election, scheduled for this coming day, informs the wrong story: Back to Donald Trump is increasingly insecure in Virginia from the battle that supported California to the battle for Mayor of New York City.

Where this story gets interesting, and where the implications are dire for the GOP, is how Republican leaders in these letters have responded to this backbiting. On top of that, they don’t mind that they will also try to distance themselves from the President, in a sharp break from the established political playbook.

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The race for the new governor of Jersey could, in theory, be competitive. Rep. Mikie Sherrill, Democrat Nureove, has a damaged biography with a helicopter, but it has faced some debates and failed to separate it illegally from the gov. Trump made big gains in New Jersey in 2024, although he still lost the state by 6 percent.

Jack Ciattarelli, Republican The former state assemblyman who almost pulled off a shock upset of Murphy in 2021, is considered a strong election. But when he sat out the 2016 election entirely because he thought Trump was a “Charlatan” and spent his 2021 race and spent Trump talking about our property? ” He asked on the other side – he ran in 2025 as a full supporter of Maga, telling the sponsor of Maga the President “not at all about everything he does” and refusing to even criticize the trumpet to cancel the most important infrastructure project of the Ultra embustry.

Ciattarelli’s transition perfectly illustrates the trap the GOP has set for itself: they have turned virtually every political decision into one person. This has certain partisan implications, not the least of which is that Trump’s preference for the base means he can break with GOP orthodoxy on issues like abortion easily, and empowers other voters to do so. But in another election year defined by a backlash from the party in power, it essentially ensures candidates won’t be able to rationally separate from an increasingly unpopular president.

“The ship has sailed for the Republicans to be able to separate themselves from Trump,” said Jesse Ferguson, an experienced Democratic consultant in Virginia. “If you’re a Republican who doesn’t agree with Trump, you’re only a Democrat at this point.”

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In the race for governor of Virginia, founder of the Republican Winse-Sest Repander Important employeesroughly equal to the Democrat Countl supported by Barack Obama’s environmental policies. But while Democrats in Kentucky and West Virginia responded at the time by suing the OBAMA administration and shooting down cap-and-trade fees in ads, Earle-Sears refused to criticize the cuts. His Democratic opponent, former Rep. Abigail Spanberger, expected to win easily.

Republicans say reluctance to criticize the President is a good thing, because most voters — especially those who are not guaranteed to turn out — like the President more than GOP members.

“It is widely recognized that any coalition to win the Republicans today needs Trump voters who voted for Trump but not for Jesse Hunt, the former director of the Pristican Rehover’. “It makes no sense to ignore the issues they care about, or ignore the support of the President of the United States, and they will demonstrate just because they don’t like DEMPAST.”

Democrats who hesitate to trade will work to work. Many of the voters Trump brought to his damage in 2024 were quickly created for him, as shown by his voting approval ratings for both young people and Latinos.

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“The lower class voters who won it in 2024 didn’t like Donald Trump, they just trusted Trump more on the economy than the economy than they trust us,” said Ferguson. “It’s a misunderstanding of what’s going on to think the way to win this is just to get those people out.”

The Tuint Found to Trump will be more visible in the 2026 midterms. GOP advisers admit Trump’s allowed win in the race is now often a priority for the election, even more so than rallying local support or raising money for television ads. And Trump is already favored in the most important 2026 congresses, including the Senate races in North Carolina and Michigan, as well as the governor’s races in Georgia, Florida and Ohio.

Trump’s power, for example, has already forced the GOP to switch voters in North Carolina, the most important Senate race in the country, and he decided to retire sooner rather than later.

Instead of looking for a candidate who could make similar claims to independence, the GOP quickly developed behind Michael Whatley, who Trump had taken over to run the Republican National Committee. Whatley cleared the field and won Trump’s endorsement almost immediately, but early polls have shown him consistently trailing former Gov. Roy Cooper, the Democratic Nominee.

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“I think you will see all of our voters who will win the primaries and win the general election will be strongly aligned with the Trump Republican American Committee,” Sen. Mont.), “Sen. Mont. “I think you’re going to see higher degrees of alignment, and less division on any major policy issues.”

Hunt said he expects the Trump administration to expect Leeawates to be a candidate in close races.

“This White House is smart and understands that the president’s agenda depends on gaining control of Congress in 2026.” Hunt said. “There is no sanity test in every race at all odds, especially if it’s something you believe is necessary to win the race.”

Trump’s candidacy clearly doesn’t solve all of the Democrat’s problems. The new Jersey race remains within striking distance of the GOP, even if Sherrill is the clear favorite. And while Spanberger is the heavy favorite, the state attorney race is high between Republican Jason Miyares and Demons Jones, in large part because of the political violence in the transcripts.

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The scandal, Democrats admitted, hurt Jones. But much of the damage has come from the financial drought. Miyares, unlike ciattarelli or uille-sears, has produced more advertisements than his democratic opponent. Earle-Sears’ campaign has already released ads on the boyfriend, fruitlessly trying to tie Spanberger to it but he put it in front of the voters.

Even here, however, Democrats say loyalty to Trump could cost Republicans. Miyares has been a staunch supporter of the President, and counts voters who supported Vice President Kamala Harris to vote for him despite the Trump administration’s DIKTTATS.

“Democratic ags have led the Trump administration over 50 times,” said one Virginia Democrat who asked not to be identified to speak candidly about the race. “If the Miyares joined just one of those mistakes, we would be completely overwhelmed.”

Arthur Delaney contributed.

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